A new report shows concerning trends for consumers amid rising living costs and low housing stock levels.
The report for Q4 2022, in association with Davy, shows that the median asking price for a property in the county is now €198,000. This means prices have risen by €9,000 compared with this time last year.
Asking prices for a 3-bed semi-detached house in the county stayed flat over the quarter at €210,000. This means that prices in the segment are up by €15,000 compared to this time last year.
Meanwhile, the asking price for a 4-bed semi-detached house in Waterford fell by €475 over the quarter to €249,000. This price is up by €20,000 compared to this time last year.
There were 348 properties for sale in Waterford at the end of Q4 2022 – a decrease of 10.3% over the quarter.
The average time for a property to go sale agreed in the county after being placed up for sale now stands at nearly two months.
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The author of the Q4 Property Price Report, Conall MacCoille, Chief Economist at Davy, said that it appeared the market had held up better than anecdotal evidence had suggested in 2022.
But he warned that buyers were stretched to a degree not seen since 2009. “The average residential transaction in Q3 2022 was €370,000, now 7.7x the average income of €48,000. This is a similar valuation multiple to the UK, where house prices are now falling due to a surge in mortgage rates above 6%.”
Mr MacCoille noted that already stretched valuations in Ireland could be exacerbated by the Central Bank’s decision to ease mortgage lending rules to four times’ income. He said this gave an upside risk to the 4% house price inflation prediction for next year.
He added that recent months had seen worrying trends in the homebuilding sector, with housing starts slowing, and the construction PMI survey pointing to the flow of new development drying up.
“We still expect housing completions will pick up to 28,400 in 2022 and 27,000 in 2023. However, the outlook for 2024 is far more uncertain. The government’s ambitious plans to expedite planning processes are welcome although, as ever, the proof will be in the pudding.”
Joanne Geary, Managing Director of MyHome.ie, said that vendor sentiment had been somewhat affected by rising costs and interest rates. “Over 3% of all properties on MyHome.ie saw asking price reductions in Q4, a low rate but even still the highest figure since Q3 2020. However, asking prices tend to fall toward the end of the year; for example, declining by 1.1% on average in the last quarter pre-pandemic. While asking price increases have cooled, the market has still remained remarkably resilient despite the uncertain environment.”
She said that stock levels were still a cause for concern. “Stock levels are improving but are still not running at the levels we need to see in order to satisfy demand. As such, we hope to see inflationary pressures ease in the construction sector over the coming months.”
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